Valuation of Mature Companies
When it comes to valuing mature companies, it involves a set of unique challenges and considerations. This is the topic of Chapter 8 of "The Little Book of Valuation," which is tantalizingly titled "Valuation Viagra". As with everything Aswath Damodaran discusses, he uses colorful analogies and straightforward explanations to demystify the valuation process.
The Challenges of Valuing Mature Companies
Slowed Growth and Established Margins
Mature companies present valuation challenges for a variety of reasons. Firstly, growth has often leveled off, leading to lower revenue growth. However, margin stability can be seen as a positive, offering predictability in earnings.
Competitive Advantage
When valuing mature companies, it's important to recognize that not all of them lack competitive advantages. In fact, some mature companies possess significant barriers to entry. Understanding the competitive position of a mature company is crucial in valuation.
Financial Commonalities
Mature companies tend to utilize debt more frequently and are also more likely to return cash to shareholders in the form of dividends or buybacks.
Growth Strategies and Acquisitions
When faced with slowed growth, some mature companies may attempt to reinvigorate growth through acquisitions. This creates valuation difficulties due to the irregular nature of these investments.
Valuation and Pricing Issues for Mature Companies
Frustrating Choice
Pricing mature companies can be challenging due to the many options available for scaling the valuation. Unlike young growth companies, mature companies offer multiple alternatives, such as revenue, EBIT, operating income, net income, and book value. The choice of scalar can lead to significantly different estimates of the company's value.
Management Assumptions
Valuing a mature company involves making an assumption about the current management's effectiveness. This is crucial as the value derived assuming the existing management's continued operation will differ from the value under new and potentially more capable management.
Impact of Acquisitions
Acquisitions can create challenges in valuation due to their sporadic nature and the accounting complexities they introduce, such as goodwill and impairment issues.
Debt
The use of debt by mature companies is another important consideration. Determining the optimal debt level and examining the potential impact of increased borrowing on the company's value is an essential aspect of valuation.
Strategies for Enhancing Value
Operating Restructuring
Mature companies have the potential to enhance their value through operating restructuring. This can involve actions aimed at increasing cash flows from existing assets, creating better value from growth, and rediscovering competitive advantages.
Financial Restructuring
Analyzing and potentially adjusting the company's debt structure can also impact its value. This involves evaluating the optimal debt ratio and addressing any mismatches in debt.
Non-Operating Assets
Non-operating assets such as cash and cross holdings should be considered in valuation, as their treatment can affect the overall value of the company.
Practical Application: Unilever Case Study
As an illustrative example, Aswath Damodaran uses Unilever, a mature UK-based consumer product company. Through a comprehensive valuation approach, he demonstrates how the potential impact of management change on the company's value can be quantified.
Conclusion
Valuing mature companies is a nuanced and multifaceted process. From examining competitive advantages to evaluating the potential impact of financial and operating restructuring, there are numerous factors to consider. The relevance of administrative change in unlocking value further emphasizes the intricacy of valuing mature companies.
Key Takeaways
The valuation of mature companies necessitates a comprehensive understanding of their competitive positioning, financial structures, and growth strategies. Additionally, the potential impact of management change on a company's value should not be overlooked.
In summary, the valuation of mature companies involves a meticulous analysis of their operations, financial condition, and the potential for value enhancement through strategic restructuring and management change.